#Insights
Whale's Tracking - AirdropAs investors, we approach President Trump's proposal to distribute $2,000 "dividends" or "tariff rebate cheques" using tariff revenues with caution. This suggestion was announced via Truth Social in November 2025, aiming to return tariff proceeds directly to most Americans and partially alleviate national debt. In the aftermath of the government shutdown and amid persistent inflation pressures, this plan appears to offer short-term economic stimulus. However, from a rational perspective, its potential impacts require comprehensive consideration, encompassing both positive aspects and challenges, as well as broader economic implications.
11/13/2025What’s Behind the Recent Stablecoin/DeFi Turmoil?Recent turmoil in synthetic stablecoins and lending protocols has brought renewed scrutiny to DeFi’s evovling architectures: stablecoin mechanisms, curator lending models, and recursive leverage loops.
11/12/2025Whale's Tracking - The Blinded FedWe are about to usher in another round of FOMC meetings and a "super central bank week." In the coming days, almost all of the world's most important central banks (Fed, ECB, BOJ) will announce their interest rate decisions, with the FOMC meeting's decision being of paramount importance. However, due to the government shutdown, the Federal Reserve is unable to obtain the latest employment and inflation data, and ADP's suspension of providing employment data to the Fed has made the situation worse, virtually rendering the Fed "blind." In the absence of data, the decisions and outlook the Fed will make deserve close attention from investors.
10/29/2025Whale's Market Outlook: The Second Half of the Bull MarketIt looks like the bull market has entered its second half.
10/24/2025Whale's Tracking - DiversifiedDear traders and portfolio managers,
The ongoing US government shutdown and the lack of economic data have fueled investor risk aversion towards dollar-pegged assets. While retail investors remain resolute in their bullish outlook, hedge funds and institutional investors have begun to withdraw from the stock market and move into previously less-travelled sectors like commodities, seeking to capture returns less correlated with US-onshore risk. This is also one of the main reasons for the further gains in precious metals like gold and silver.
10/21/2025Whale's Methodology: The Inevitable LiquidationThe "unprecedented" large-scale liquidation was actually foreshadowed a few months ago.
10/17/2025Global Finance Is Getting an UpgradeTraditional finance giants are leaning deeper into crypto rails, with SWIFT building a blockchain ledger, Stripe simplifying stablecoin issuance, and CME preparing 24/7 crypto futures trading
10/03/2025Global Finance Is Getting an UpgradeTraditional finance giants are leaning deeper into crypto rails, with SWIFT building a blockchain ledger, Stripe simplifying stablecoin issuance, and CME preparing 24/7 crypto futures trading
10/03/2025Whale's Tradingview: The Fed's "Third Mandate"Although rarely mentioned, the Federal Reserve has a third mandate beyond "maximum employment" and "stable price": moderate long-term interest rates. With the new Fed Governor Miran challenging the Fed based on this mandate, the proportion of liquidity derived from T-bills is likely to increase further, which is clearly detrimental to financial market stability.
09/29/2025Whale's Tradingview: The Fed's "Third Mandate"Although rarely mentioned, the Federal Reserve has a third mandate beyond "maximum employment" and "stable price": moderate long-term interest rates. With the new Fed Governor Miran challenging the Fed based on this mandate, the proportion of liquidity derived from T-bills is likely to increase further, which is clearly detrimental to financial market stability.
09/29/2025Thêm